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What’s Ahead for Mortgage Rates This Week – March 7, 2022

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What's Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week - March 7, 2022Last week’s economic reporting included readings on construction spending, written testimony from Fed chair Jerome Powell and data on public and private sector jobs and national unemployment. Weekly readings on mortgage rates and jobless claims were also released.

Fed Chair Hints at Rate Hikes in Written Testimony

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell indicated that consistent rate hikes of the Fed’s target interest rate range will likely occur throughout this year, but he said that the Fed would proceed carefully. Analysts interpreted Mr. Powell’s remarks to mean that he would limit each rate hike to 0.25 percent but could be higher depending on the pace of inflation.

Inflation rose by 7.50 percent year-over-year in January; this was the highest inflation rate since 1982. Chairman Powell said the Fed wanted to prevent persistent high inflation while promoting sustainable economic expansion and a strong labor market. The war in Ukraine could lead to faster inflation as Russia is the world’s second-largest producer of oil.

Mortgage Rates, Fall, Jobless Claims Mixed

Freddie Mac reported lower average mortgage rates last week as the rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages fell by 13 basis points to 3.76 percent. Rates for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages were also 13 basis points lower at 3.01 percent and rates for 5/1 adjustable-rate mortgages averaged 2.91 percent and were seven basis points lower on average. Discount points averaged 0.80 percent for fixed-rate mortgages and 0.30 percent for 5/1 adjustable-rate mortgages.

Initial jobless claims fell last week with 215,000 new claims filed as compared to 233,000 jobless claims filed in the previous week. 1.48 million continuing jobless claims were filed last week as compared to the prior week’s reading of 1.47 million continuing claims filed.

Jobs Data Shows Mixed Results

Public and private sector jobs data and the national unemployment rate reflected a strong labor market. The government’s Non-Farm Payrolls report tracks public and private-sector job growth and reported 678,000 jobs were added in February as compared to expectations of 440,000 jobs added and January’s reading of 481,000 jobs added.

The ADP jobs report includes only private-sector jobs data; 475,000 jobs were added in February as compared to predictions of 400,000 jobs added and January’s reading of 509,000 private-sector jobs added. The national unemployment rate dropped to 3.80 percent; analysts expected an unemployment rate of 3.90 percent and January’s jobless rate of 4.00 percent.

What’s Ahead

This week’s scheduled economic reporting includes readings on job openings and quits, inflation, and the University of Michigan’s preliminary reading on consumer sentiment. Weekly reports on mortgage rates and jobless claims will also be released.

A Guide To Helping A Dog Adjust To A New Home

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A Guide To Helping A Dog Adjust To A New HomeMost people treat their dogs as members of the family. Just as moving can be difficult for children, moving can be a challenge for dogs as well. Dogs develop an attachment to their homes, and they can have a hard time adjusting to a new place. Fortunately, there are a few steps that homeowners can take to make the moving process easier for everyone involved, including dogs.

Let The Dog Get Familiar With The Moving Supplies 

A lot of dog owners have found that it is easier to take a dog to the vet if he or she can acclimate to the carrier. The same is true with the moving process. Dogs have a difficult time understanding what is happening when the family moves. Consider giving your dog an opportunity to become accustomed to the packing and moving supplies. That way, they will be comfortable in the car on the way to their new home.

Allow Dogs Alone Time In The New Home

Moving is stressful for everyone, including dogs. Dogs will need a bit of time on their own in their new home. Give dogs the freedom to explore. When they find a corner they like, let them stay there and decompress. Eventually, dogs will get more comfortable in the new environment, and they will resume their normal behaviors.

Stick To A Regular Schedule

Even though the home is changing, not everything has to change. For example, try to keep dogs on their regular schedules. If dogs tend to go out and use the bathroom at a certain time, stick to that time. If dogs go for a walk at a certain time of day, stick to that schedule as well. By keeping other environmental factors consistent, dogs will have an easier time adjusting to the home.

Keep A Consistent Environment

Dogs have already experienced a lot of changes by moving to a new home. It is important to keep the new environment as consistent as possible. Even though some changes will be expected as boxes are unpacked, try to keep the home looking as normal as possible. The faster things get into their new places, the easier it will be for dogs to adjust. By following these tips, it is possible for homeowners to make their dogs as comfortable as possible with the moving process.

Are Home Prices Continuing To Rise?

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Are Home Prices Continuing To Rise? | MyKCM

Many analysts projected home price appreciation would slow dramatically in the fall of 2021 and then continue to soften throughout 2022. So far, that hasn’t happened. The major price indices are all revealing ongoing double-digit price appreciation. Here’s a look at their reports on year-over-year price appreciation for December:

To show that they’re not seeing signs of softening, here’s a graph that gives the progression of all three indices for each month of 2021.

Are Home Prices Continuing To Rise? | MyKCM

As the graph above reveals, last year, home price appreciation accelerated dramatically from January to July according to all three indices. Then, it began to decelerate in August when prices appreciated at a slower pace, but it didn’t decline. Many thought that would be the beginning of a rapid slowdown in the level of home price appreciation, but as the data shows, that wasn’t the case. Instead, prices began to level off for a few months before two of the three indices saw appreciation re-accelerate again in December.

To clarify, deceleration is not the same as depreciation. Acceleration means prices rise at a greater year-over-year pace than the previous month. Deceleration means home values continue to rise but at a slower pace of year-over-year appreciation. Depreciation means prices drop below current values. No one is forecasting that to happen.

In fact, the FHFA revealed that price appreciation accelerated in December in six of the nine regions it tracks. Case Shiller showed that appreciation accelerated in 15 of the 20 metros they report on. As Selma Hepp, Deputy Chief Economist at CoreLogic, explains:

“After some signs of slowing home price growth . . . monthly price growth re-accelerated again, indicating home buyers have not yet thrown in the towel.”

What Does This Mean for You?

Whether you’re a first-time purchaser or someone looking to sell your current house and buy a home that better fits your needs, waiting to decide what to do will cost you in two ways:

  1. Mortgage rates are forecast to rise this year.
  2. Home prices should continue to appreciate at double-digit levels for some time.

If you wait, rising mortgage rates and high home price appreciation will have a dramatic impact on your monthly mortgage payment.

Bottom Line

Maybe the best thing to do is listen to the advice of Len Kiefer, Deputy Chief Economist at Freddie Mac:

“If you’re thinking about waiting until next year and that maybe rates are higher, but you’ll get a deal on prices – well that’s risky. It may be more advantageous to purchase this year relative to waiting until 2023 at this time.”

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