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Economic Reports for the Week of October 16, 2023

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Week in Review

Last week’s economic report schedule included notable reports with the CPI & Core CPI in addition to PPI and Core PPI. With many markets keeping a close eye on the inflation numbers for the U.S. as well as many other parts of the world to help guide their policies. Other notable reports were MBA Mortgage Applications Index and University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Report (Prelim.)

Consumer Price Index

With current inflation data, the Federal Reserve has hinted that they are close to end their rate-hiking cycle for the future. This reflects greater optimism for a soft landing in many markets.

● The cost of goods rose 0.9% in September after a 2% gain in the prior month.

● The cost of services rose 0.3% last month, up slightly from 0.2% in August.

● Energy prices rose 3.3% in September, down from a 10.3% gain in the previous month.

● Wholesale food prices have moved up 0.9% after a 0.5% fall in the previous month

Product Price Index

Over the last year the mainline PPI is up 2.2% in September, up from 2% in the prior month. This is the highest rate since April.

● Core PPI has had an increase of 0.3% over the previous month.

● PPI has had an increase of 0.5% over the previous month.

Key point: This is the second month in a row goods prices have outpaced service costs.

Mortgage Applications Increase for the Month of October

MBA Mortgage Applications Increase, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 0.6% percent compared to the previous month which had seen a -6.0% reduction.

University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Report

The University of Michigan reported that the preliminary index for Consumer Sentiment in October came in at 63, missing the consensus estimate of 67.4. The final reading of the index for September was 68.1. Expectations for the one-year inflation rate rose to 3.8% in October from 3.2% in September, marking its highest reading since May.

What’s Ahead

This week’s scheduled economic reports include readings on inflation, U.S. retail sales, and the preliminary monthly report on consumer sentiment. Weekly readings on mortgage rates and initial jobless claims will also be released.

Sources:

https://www.bls.gov/cpi/

https://www.bls.gov/ppi/

https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/mba-mortgage-market-index

http://www.sca.isr.umich.edu/

Setting Your Budget: How to Analyze Your Finances to Determine How Much Mortgage You Can Afford

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Setting Your Budget: How to Analyze Your Finances to Determine How Much Mortgage You Can AffordWhether you’re buying a home for the first time or you’ve decided it’s about time that you upgraded to a larger, more expansive house, if you’re making a real estate purchase you’ll need to be aware of how much you can reasonably afford to borrow in a mortgage. In today’s post we’ll take a look at a few ways that you can analyze your financial situation to help decide how much mortgage you can truly afford.

Prepare An Honest Monthly Budget

The first step in understanding how much of a monthly payment you can afford is to create an honest monthly budget which includes all of your family’s income and spending. Although you won’t have to pay them every month, it’s also important that you include costs that show up irregularly like car repairs, Christmas gifts or tuition bills as these still need to be paid. The more information you can place in your budget, the more accurate your financial picture will be.

Your Down Payment Plays A Huge Role

As you might imagine, the amount you can invest in your down payment plays a significant role in how much mortgage financing you will need. Every dollar that you can place in your down payment today is one less dollar that you’ll need to borrow and pay interest on over the amortization period of your mortgage. Take some time to consider how much you can put down, and see if there’s any way you can bump this figure a bit higher.

What Interest Rate Will You End Up Paying?

Small changes to your mortgage interest rate can have significant impacts on how much you are required to pay back over the life of your mortgage. As you’re shopping around, be sure to consider how long your interest rates are valid for and try to determine the lowest rate you might qualify for. You may also find it helpful to use an online mortgage calculator which can help you to understand how your interest rate impacts your monthly payments.

Consult A Mortgage Professional To Learn More

While building a quick budget to analyze your family’s expenses is easy, factoring in all of the various items that a lender will consider might be harder than you expect. If you have questions about the mortgage process and whether or not you’re ready financially, contact your local mortgage professional today.

Are You a Homebuyer Worried About Climate Risks?

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The increasing effects of natural disasters are leading to new obstacles in residential real estate. As a recent article from CoreLogic explains:

 “As the specter of climate change looms large, the world braces for unprecedented challenges. In the world of real estate, one of those challenges will be the effects of natural catastrophes on property portfolios, homeowners, and communities.”

That may be why, according to Zillow, more and more Americans now consider how climate risks and natural disasters can impact their homeownership plans (see below):

This study goes on to explain that climate risks affect where many people look for a home. That’s because homebuyers are interested in finding out if the house they want will be exposed to things like floods, extreme heat, and wildfires.

If you’re in the same situation and are thinking about what to do next, here’s some important information to consider as you start looking for a home.

 Expert Advice for Homebuyers To Reduce Climate Risks

The first thing to do is understand how to go about buying a home while thinking about climate risks. With the right help and resources, you can simplify the process.

The Mortgage Reports provides these tips for buying your next home:

  •  Evaluate climate risks: Before buying a home, it’s important to check if it’s in a flood-prone area using the FEMA website, review the seller’s property disclosure for any past damage, and get an inspection for issues like cracks and mold to make sure it’s a safe investment.
  • Consider future preventative maintenance costs: For areas that get tropical storms, you may need to purchase hurricane shutters and sandbags to protect the home. In wildfire-prone areas, you may want to clear plants five feet from the house, consider rooftop sprinklers, or possibly buy gutter guards to prevent fire hazards. Factor these future expenses in when touring homes that may need them.
  • Take steps to avoid losing your assets: Getting the right insurance for a home in a high-risk climate area is crucial. You should shop around and talk to multiple insurance agents to compare prices and options before deciding to bid on a home.

Above all else, your most valuable resource during this process is a trusted real estate expert. They’ll always focus on your goals while keeping your concerns top of mind. Even if they don’t have all the answers about how your home can handle natural disasters, they can connect you with the right experts and information.

Bottom Line

If you want to buy a home, but you’re also thinking about climate risks, you’re not alone. Your home is a big investment, and if anything can impact that, you want to know. Let’s connect so you have someone you can trust to guide you as you find your next home.

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