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What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – July 10, 2023

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What's Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week - July 10, 2023Last week’s scheduled economic reporting included readings on construction spending, June’s FOMC meeting minutes, and reports on jobs and the national unemployment rate. Weekly readings on mortgage rates and jobless claims were also released.

Construction Spending Increased in May

The Commerce Department reported spending for construction rose to 0.90 percent in May as compared to a month-to-month increase of 0.40 percent posted in April. The year-over-year reading showed $1.93 trillion in construction spending in May. April’s data was revised downward from the original reading of 1.20 percent growth to 0.40 percent growth in construction spending.

Readings for construction spending include all phases of government and private construction projects. When construction spending increases. It indicates overall growth in the economy. Year-over-year construction spending was 2.40 percent higher in May.

Private-Sector Job Growth Exceeds Expectations in June

The Commerce  Department reported the largest increase in private-sector job growth since July 2022. 497,000 jobs were added in June 2023, which surpassed analyst expectations of 220,000 jobs added. 267,000 jobs were reported in May’s reading. The increase in available jobs countered forecasts that the Federal Reserve’s recent series of interest rate hikes would slow inflation and dampen economic growth.

The national unemployment rate fell from 3.60 percent from 3.70 percent in May to 3.60 percent in June. In related news, weekly jobless claims rose to 248,000 claims from the previous week’s reading of 236,000 jobless claims filed. Analysts expected a reading of 220,000 claims filed.

Minutes of Federal Reserve Meeting: Fed Holds Federal Rate Range Steady in June

Members of the Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee voted to hold the Fed’s interest rate range at 5.00 percent to 5.25 percent. Committee members cited the tight labor market and current economic conditions that exceeded expectations. Fed Chair Jerome Powell said that the Fed would likely raise its rate range two more times during 2023.

Freddie Mac reported higher average mortgage rates last week’s the rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages rose by 10 basis points to 6.81 percent. Rates for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages averaged 6.24 percent and 18 basis points higher.

What’s Ahead

This week’s scheduled economic reports include month-to-month and year-over-year readings on consumer inflation; the final monthly reading on consumer sentiment will be released along with weekly readings on mortgage rates and jobless claims.

 

Today’s Housing Inventory Is a Sweet Spot for Sellers

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One of the biggest challenges in the housing market right now is how few homes there are for sale compared to the number of people who want to buy them. To help emphasize just how limited housing inventory still is, let’s take a look at the latest information on active listings, or homes for sale in a given month, as it compares to more normal levels.

According to a recent report from Realtor.com:

 “On average, active inventory in June was 50.6% below pre-pandemic 2017–2019 levels.”

The graph below helps illustrate this point. It uses historical data to provide a more concrete look at how much the numbers are still lagging behind the level of inventory typical of a more normal market (see graph below):

It’s worth noting that 2020-2022 are not included in this graph. That’s because they were truly abnormal years for the housing market. To make the comparison fair, those have been omitted so they don’t distort the data.

When you compare the orange bars for 2023 with the last normal years for the housing market (2017-2019), you can see the count of active listings is still far below the norm.

What Does This Mean for You?

If you’re thinking about selling your house, that low inventory is why this is a great time to do so. Buyers have fewer choices now than they did in more normal years, and that’s continuing to impact some key statistics in the housing market. For example, sellers will be happy to see the following data from the latest Confidence Index from the National Association of Realtors (NAR):

  • The percent of homes that sold in less than a month ticked up slightly to 74%.
  • The median days on market went down to 18 days, showing homes are still selling fast when priced right.
  • The average number of offers on recently sold homes went up to 3.3 offers.

Bottom Line

When supply is so low, your house is going to be in the spotlight. That’s why sellers are seeing their homes sell a little faster and get more offers right now. If you’ve thought about selling, now’s the time to make a move. Let’s connect to get the process started.

Concerns To Address When Choosing The Right Mortgage Lender

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Concerns To Address When Choosing The Right Mortgage LenderChoosing the right mortgage lender is a crucial decision when you’re considering purchasing a home or refinancing your existing mortgage. With numerous lenders available in the market, it’s important to carefully evaluate your options to ensure you select a lender that suits your needs and financial goals.

Interest Rates and Terms:

One of the primary factors to consider is the interest rate offered by the lender. A lower interest rate can significantly impact your monthly mortgage payments and overall affordability. Compare rates and terms from different lenders to determine the most favorable options for your financial situation.

Lender’s Reputation and Credibility:

When dealing with something as important as a mortgage, it’s crucial to work with a reputable and trustworthy lender. Research the lender’s reputation, read customer reviews, and check if they have any disciplinary actions or complaints lodged against them. Choose a lender with a solid track record, excellent customer service, and a history of fulfilling their commitments.

Loan Programs and Options:

Every borrower has unique financial circumstances, so it’s essential to choose a lender that offers a variety of loan programs and options. Whether you’re a first-time homebuyer, self-employed, or have a less-than-perfect credit score, look for a lender who specializes in providing loans tailored to your specific needs.

Costs and Fees:

Apart from the interest rate, it’s important to consider the various costs and fees associated with the mortgage. Lenders may charge origination fees, closing costs, appraisal fees, and other expenses. Request a Loan Estimate (LE) from each lender, which will provide a breakdown of the costs involved.

Customer Service and Support:

The mortgage process can be complex and time-consuming, so it’s essential to choose a lender who provides excellent customer service and support. A lender who is responsive and communicates clearly can help alleviate stress and ensure a smooth experience.

Prequalification and Preapproval Process:

Before you start house hunting, it’s advisable to get prequalified or preapproved for a mortgage. Evaluate the lender’s prequalification or preapproval process and the time it takes to complete it. A streamlined and efficient process can give you an advantage when making an offer on a property, demonstrating your readiness and seriousness as a buyer.

By evaluating interest rates, lender credibility, loan programs, costs, customer service, and the prequalification process, you can make an informed decision that aligns with your financial goals and preferences. Take the time to compare multiple lenders, gather all necessary information, and seek professional advice if needed. With the right mortgage lender, you can embark on your homeownership journey with confidence.

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