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Last week’s economic news included readings from the National Association of Home Builders on housing market conditions and Commerce Department readings on housing starts and building permits issued. Weekly readings on mortgage rates and jobless claims were also released.
NAHB: August Builder Confidence Fell to Lowest Level in 13 Months
Homebuilder confidence fell to its lowest level since July 2020 according to the National Association of Home Builder’s Housing Market Index for August. The HMI reading for August was 75; analysts expected a reading of 80 based on July’s index reading of 80. Readings over 50 represent positive sentiment among homebuilders surveyed. Ongoing obstacles to builder confidence included high materials costs, supply chain issues, and lack of skilled labor. Shortages of available homes and rapidly rising home prices sidelined buyers and dampened builder confidence.
Component readings of the Housing Market Index were lower in two categories as builder confidence slipped five points to an index reading of 81 for builder confidence in current market conditions and also fell five points to 60 for builder confidence in buyer traffic in new housing developments. Builder confidence in housing market conditions over the next six months was unchanged at an index reading of 81. Regional readings for builder confidence were also lower. The Midwestern region reported an index reading of 68 and was two points lower than in July. Builders in the Northeastern region reported their confidence reading slipped one point to 74. Homebuilder confidence in the South fell three points to 82; builder confidence in the West fell two points to an index reading of 85.
New home starts reflected builder hesitancy as they slipped from a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 1.64 million starts in June to 1.53 million starts in July. Building permits rose to a seasonally-adjusted annual pace of 1.64 million permits issued in July as compared to June’s reading of 1.59 million building permits issued.
Mortgage Rates and Jobless Claims
Freddie Mac reported little change in average mortgage rates last week. Rates for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages averaged 2.86 percent and were one basis point lower than for the previous week. Rates for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages averaged 2.16 percent and were one basis point higher. Rates for 5/1 adjustable rate mortgages averaged one basis point lower at 2.43 percent. Discount points averaged 0.70 percent for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages and 0.60 percent for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages. Points for 5/1 adjustable rate mortgages averaged 0.30 percent.
Fewer jobless claims were filed last week; 348,000 new claims were filed as compared to the previous week’s reading of 377,000 initial jobless claims filed. Continuing jobless claims also dropped last week with 2.82 million ongoing claims filed as compared to the prior week’s reading of 2.90 million continuing jobless claims filed.
What’s Ahead
This week’s scheduled economic reports include reports on new and existing home sales, consumer spending, and consumer sentiment. Weekly readings on mortgage rates and jobless claims will also be released.
In the current economy, there are a lot of millennials who are thinking about buying a home; however, the price of homes is rising quickly. It can be challenging for millennials to save the money they need to buy a home. When this is combined with other monthly expenses they have, millennials might be financially unprepared to buy a home.
Finding the right house takes patience and discipline, so millennials need to avoid jumping in unprepared. What do millennials need to do to make sure they are ready for the expenses that come with owning a home?
Be Aware Of How Much Money Is Required
The first thing that millennials need to do is make sure they have enough money saved up. If prospective homeowners do not have enough money saved up, they could be denied financing by a lender. Conventional mortgage lenders will ask for 20 percent down to avoid PMI, but it might be possible for homebuyers to get a home for as little as 3.5 percent down from some lenders. If the home costs $250,000, then 3.5 percent down is going to be $8,750. If prospective homebuyers have less than this saved up, they could be denied a loan.
After saving up enough money for the down payment, homebuyers also need to cover closing costs. This could include the inspection, the appraisal, and any fees that come from the closing attorney. Even if millennials have parents and grandparents to help them, they still need to save up an emergency fund to cover any possible repairs that are needed. It is a solid rule of thumb to save up and move at least three to six months of emergency money in a liquidity fund. If this money is not there, it might be better to wait.
Millennials Should Wait For The Right Time Instead Of Jumping In Unprepared
Even though it is a great investment to own a home, it is better to wait for the right time instead of jumping in unprepared. Millennials need to make sure they have enough money saved up for a down payment. Then, they should have an additional two to five percent of the loan’s value saved up to cover closing costs. Finally, homeowners should also have a liquidity fund with three to six months of living expenses set aside.