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Is an ARM Loan Right for You?

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Is an ARM right for youIn today’s competitive housing industry, it’s important to find the loan that’s right for you. With the low-interest-rate environment, many buyers wonder if an ARM loan is the best choice. Here’s everything you should consider before choosing an ARM loan.

Understanding how an ARM Loan Works

An ARM loan offers an introductory rate. The rate remains fixed for the first few years. After the fixed period, the rate adjusts annually based on the index (such as LIBOR) and the chosen margin set by the lender.

Many buyers prefer the ARM because the initial payment is much lower so they can afford a larger loan. With the potential of increasing rates in the near future, many buyers are looking at the ARM for its lower cost.

A fixed-rate loan, on the other hand, starts at one rate and remains the same. Your payment never changes unless you escrow your taxes and insurance, and those rates change throughout the time you own the home.

Pros and Cons of the ARM Loan

Pros:

  • Lower payment for the first few years
  • You may be able to pay more principal each month with the lower payment
  • Rates may decrease in the future

Cons:

  • Rates can increase significantly
  • Your monthly payment will change annually after the fixed period
  • It’s hard to predict your financial situation 5 to 10 years from now

Choosing Between an ARM Loan and Fixed Rate Loan

Because you don’t know where you’ll be 5 to 10 years from now, it’s hard to decide if an ARM loan or fixed-rate loan is right. Here’s what you should consider.

Will you Move Soon?

Think about your plans. Will you move in the next few years? If so, an ARM may make sense, especially if you can get one with a rate that will adjust after you sell the house.

Do you Think you’ll Refinance?

Some people like refinancing whether to get the lowest rates or to tap into their home’s equity. If you’ve structured your loan so that you put money into the home now but will tap into it later, an ARM may save you money for a few years. If you refinance before the rate adjusts, you eliminate the risk of increasing rates.

Do you not Like Risks?

No matter what your future plans may be, if you don’t like risks and uncertainty, a fixed-rate loan is a better choice. You’ll get more predictability and know exactly what your payment is each month. You’ll also know when you can afford to pay more principal and pay your loan down faster.

Choose the Right Loan Term for You

Look at your situation and choose the loan term that suits your finances now and in the future. Even if everyone around you is taking an ARM loan doesn’t mean it’s right for you. Know the terms, how much the rate can change, and what you are comfortable affording.

Talk with your loan officer and look at all scenarios, paying close attention to the loan’s total cost over the life of the loan before deciding.

Hope Is on the Horizon for Today’s Housing Shortage

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Hope Is on the Horizon for Today’s Housing Shortage | MyKCM

The major challenge in today’s housing market is that there are more buyers looking to purchase than there are homes available to buy. Simply put, supply can’t keep up with demand. A normal market has a 6-month supply of homes for sale. Anything over that indicates it’s a buyers’ market, but an inventory level below that threshold means we’re in a sellers’ market. Today’s inventory level sits far below the norm.

According to the Existing Home Sales Report from the National Association of Realtors (NAR):

“Total housing inventory at the end of April amounted to 1.16 million units, up 10.5% from March’s inventory and down 20.5% from one year ago (1.46 million). Unsold inventory sits at a 2.4-month supply at the current sales pace, slightly up from March’s 2.1-month supply and down from the 4.0-month supply recorded in April 2020. These numbers continue to represent near-record lows.”

Hope Is on the Horizon for Today’s Housing Shortage | MyKCM

Basically, while we are seeing some improvement, we’re still at near-record lows for housing inventory (as shown in the graph below). Here’s why. Since the pandemic began, sellers have been cautious when it comes to putting their homes on the market. At the same time that fewer people are listing their homes, more and more people are trying to buy them thanks to today’s low mortgage rates. The influx of buyers aiming to capitalize on those rates are purchasing this limited supply of homes as quickly as they’re coming to market.This inventory shortage doesn’t just apply to existing homes that are already built. When it comes to new construction, builders are trying to do their part to bring more newly built homes into the market. However, due to challenges with things like lumber supply, they’re also not able to keep up with demand. In their Monthly New Residential Sales report, the United States Census Bureau states:

“The seasonally‐adjusted estimate of new houses for sale at the end of April was 316,000. This represents a supply of 4.4 months at the current sales rate.”

Hope Is on the Horizon for Today’s Housing Shortage | MyKCM

Sam Khater, Chief Economist at Freddie Mac, elaborates:

“In the span of five decades, entry level construction fell from 418,000 units per year in the late 1970s to 65,000 in 2020.

While in 2020 only 65,000 entry-level homes were completed, there were 2.38 million first-time homebuyers that purchased homes. Not all renters looking to purchase their first home were in the market for entry-level homes, however, the large disparity illustrates the significant and rapidly widening gap between entry-level supply and demand.”

Despite today’s low inventory, there is hope on the horizon.

Regarding existing home sales, Sabrina Speianu, Senior Economic Research Analyst at realtor.com, explains:

“In May, newly listed homes grew by 5.4% on a year-over-year basis compared to the earlier days of the COVID-19 pandemic last year…

In May, the share of newly listed homes compared to active daily inventory hit a historical high of 44.4%, 17.3 percentage points higher than last year and 15.1 percentage points above typical levels seen in 2017 to 2019. This is a reflection of quickly selling homes and, for buyers, it means that while they can expect fresh new listings every week, they will have to be prepared to move quickly on desirable homes.”

As for newly built homes, builders are also confident about what’s ahead for housing inventory. Robert Dietz, Chief Economist at the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB), shares:

“Builder confidence in the market remains strong due to a lack of resale inventory, low mortgage interest rates, and a growing demographic of prospective home buyers.”

Things are starting to look up for residential real estate inventory. As the country continues to reopen, more houses are likely to be listed for sale. However, as long as buyer demand remains high, it will take time for the balance between supply and demand to truly neutralize.

Bottom Line

Although it may be challenging to find a house to buy in today’s market, there is hope on the horizon. Let’s connect to talk about your home search so we can find your dream home this summer.

Do You Have Enough Of A Down Payment Saved Up?

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Do You Have Enough Of A Down Payment Saved Up?If you are planning on purchasing a home in the near future, you need to make sure you have enough money saved up. While there are a lot of expenses that go along with purchasing a home, the biggest expense is the down payment.

The common belief is that people have to put 20 percent down; however, even if you don’t have 20 percent saved up, you might still be able to purchase a home. It will depend on whether you can get a lender to provide a loan that is greater than 80 percent of the purchase price of a home. If you have a strong credit history, you may be able to get one.

Getting A Loan With Less Than 20 Percent Down

First, many lenders realize that many people do not have enough money saved up to put down 20 percent. After all, this could be tens of thousands of dollars.  Although some people might be able to get a loan with only 10 percent down, those with outstanding credit might even qualify for a larger loan. There are certain people, such as veterans, who might have other options outside of conventional loans that might open other doors. If you are looking to get a home loan for less than 20 percent down, you will want to check all of your options.

How To Get A Loan For Less Than 20 Percent Down

Particularly if you are a first-time homebuyer, you might not know how to get a loan for less than 20 percent down. First, you need to have a strong credit score. If the lender is giving you a larger loan, they will want to make sure you can pay it back. Having a strong credit score can prove this to them. You may want to check your credit report ahead of time to correct any inaccuracies.

Second, you need to take a look at your debt to income ratio. If you have a lot of debt, consider paying this down before applying for a home loan.

Finally, trust an experienced lender to guide you through the process. You might be able to get a home loan for less than 20 percent down.

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